What is exit poll and know it’s done?
Voting plays a pivotal part in everyone’s life as it lets the citizens choose the representatives in forming the government. Everyone is interested to know which political party one should support and in the wake of this movement, there have been recent developments in the way people perceive voting. Multiple surveys have been conducted through different types of mediums which ask the citizens to put forward their opinion about upcoming exit polls.
What is an exit poll?
Exit polls are conducted in an attempt to predict the official election results, and they are similar to any other polls. It’s just that they are exercised when people exit from the voting booth on the day of election. These polls are known to be way more reliable than the opinion polls as they are being conducted only after people cast their votes. According to many individuals and experts, voting polls are more reliable than opinion polls.
Exit polls are considered genuine sources for estimating the results of the elections. Exit polls play a pivotal role in the voting journey as they impact the opinions of the people who have not cast a vote yet. These polls are post-election polls. Exit polls give a broad idea and a certain sense of direction and also help one understand where the frame of mind of the nations is heading. The survey is taken soon after a voter casts their vote.
The organizations that conduct an exit poll follow a myriad of different methods. Sampling is a standard method many people follow. Many people have now started relying on exit polls, considered genuine sources to estimate the election results. Moreover, these polls are also known to gather the demographic information of voters. We all are no strangers to the fact that voting has always been anonymous. Thus, now, it has become even more critical for the electoral candidates to know who all participated in the voting process. In some unprecedented situations, the final results could be different from the exit polls’ results. This happens when there is a margin of error in the targeted population sample.
How do exit polls work?
Many private organizations work closely with broadcasters and newspapers, and these organizations generally conduct exit polls. To obtain exit poll results, a researcher should consider several parameters, such as absent voters or those who cast their vote at a different voting booth.
Sample creation is the very first step in exit polls. One should create a blueprint of the actual population, then it should be divided into smaller groups depending on various demographics such as age, sex, etc. The researchers should also consider the possibility of a large margin of error. The pollster should see that he conducts exit polls with every person who happens to cast their vote. The main challenge occurs while selecting the polling stations that represent the country as a whole. Data collection plays a significant role during exit polling as once the data is collected and extrapolated; the second task is to model the collected data and pool the information.
The following are two critical stages of exit polls-
- Stage one.
Categorically selecting the polling locations will prove the most fruitful during the exit polls.
- Stage two.
Instead of gathering the opinions of the people who come to cast their votes, the researcher should select three to five people at stipulated intervals during the entire day.
The exit polls for Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Chhatisgarh and Mizoram
Mizoram Assembly Election result
The state of Mizoram witnessed voting on November 7 for 40 constituencies. It resulted into a 53 per cent voter turnout by 1 pm. The total number of electors were 8.57 lakh.
Rajasthan Assembly Election result
On 25 November 2023, voting for 200 assembly seats was held in the state of Rajasthan. This state is known for its trend of alternating parties in governance. It has lived up to its three decade legacy!
Chhatisgarh Assembly Election results 2023
Around 70 constituencies witnessed voting on November 17, 2023. The first phase took place on November 7. This phase involved 20 constituencies. There were 958 candidates out of which one was chief minister Bhupesh Baghel and Deputy Chief Minister TS Sign Deo. Out of all the contestants these individuals were vying for 70 seats.
Madhya Pradesh Election results
The state of MP held elections for 230 constituencies in a single phase on November 17, 2023. A whopping 2500 candidates vied for seats and among these were the prominent figures such as Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan and the Congress party state president Kamal Nath.
Telangana Assembly Election 2023
The state of Telangana Assembly polls for 119 constituencies and they mark the end of an extended campaign season on November 28, 5 pm.
